You may be surprised to know that I also hold a Series 3 registration for Commodity Futures activity as a Commodity Trading Advisor for newsletters only. My weekly predictions and trade calls have been featured at www.futuresmag.com as a lead author. My forecasts and predictions are now at Moneyshow.com at the blue button link above. I try to forecast "weekly ranges" as a heading using various range/aggregate statistics, ancient math, and other methods.  Visit www.MONEYSHOW.com and seek my weekly market ranges (scroll down). Note that when I do trade, which is different from long-term investing, it is short-term with hobby amounts of money that i would not miss if lost and using low-cost options/option spreads.

 

My study focus areas are the S&P , Yen, Eurodollar, Gold, Crude Oil, futures. Holding the beliefs, even if delusional beliefs, that markets can often be mathematically quantified/predicted and that individual investors/traders can be successfully self-directed, I have been studying markets both formally and informally for decades. Specifically, try to forecast weekly highs/lows for each upcoming week, and it includes my directional bias and hypothetical trade ideas, which I may/may not follow live with my own money. I often use defined-risk option spreads to offer a way to play commodity futures without having as much risk of a single "black swan" event, losing more than you traded with in a trade (futures involve risking more than you put in, but options spreads define the limited risks that can be as low as hundreds of dollars). Binary options are often under $100.00, and even $65 or less.

Honestly, more than trading markets, I just enjoy calculating market numbers, looking for exciting cycles, patterns, and indicators while performing my extensive technical analyses, the accuracy of which is not guaranteed nor is the effect of are factors outside my control.

No advice rendered, seek a professional, and see full disclaimers on links provided. Since this is part of decades-long prototype projects in test phases, do not even begin to think about following my work herein with any real money. Instead, think of this facet of my life as a work-in-progress hobby, or as entertainment, for now.

My "Tennessee Trevor's Trading" Program (SM) magazine/newsletter pieces are forthcoming

My range extrema are zones where I allow myself to take a reversal trade when pivot math and other range averages indicate a market may have sideways character, versus a trending market that can pass right through my extrema. My ranges are not perfect, and no accuracy guarantees are made, nor with my ability to ensure in any way that a sideways market will not become a trending market due to daily pivot math or news reports. When my range extrema are touched, I look for candlestick patterns on multiple time frames, volume spikes/surges, and likelihood of mean reversion back into Bollinger bonds or to other “fair valuation” price levels, such as Volume Profile chart lines/levels. Trending or “steamroller” markets are less likely to revert to middle areas of anything on the charts. My range reversal strategies are opposite to my breakout techniques used in trending markets that I try to identify, with no guarantees that surprises won’t occur, by pivot and range math and news schedules (no guarantees of comprehensiveness of news event listings I use either). 

CFTC Rule 4.1

U.S. Government Required Disclaimer: Commodity Futures Trading Commission. Futures and options trading has large potential rewards, but also large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in the futures and options markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose. This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures or options. This website is intended for education purposes only. We are not registered investment advisers and in no way associated with any FINRA broker dealer. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

 

Simulated Trading

HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE INHERENT LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.

 

No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown in any simulation. In fact, there are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any trading program. One of the limitations of hypothetical performance results is that they are generally prepared with the benefit of hindsight. In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk of actual trading. For example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses is material points which can also adversely affect trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all which can adversely affect actual trading results.

 

Forex, futures, equities, and options trading has large potential rewards, but also large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in the Forex, futures, equities, and options markets. Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose. This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell Forex,equities, futures or options. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not indicative of future results.

 

All trades, patterns, charts, systems, etc., discussed in this advertisement and the product materials including website and Private twitter stream are for illustrative purposes only and not to be construed as specific advisory recommendations. No guarantees of accuracy or completeness are made due to the nature of hand calculations, unreliability in general of data, and internet service that can be affected by Acts of God/nature, and none of which I assume liability for the disruption of, including other jobs I may work or patients needing attention. All ideas and material presented are entirely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of the publisher, website host, nor the author as a health care professional (meaning I have intent not to mix multiple credentials to enhance credibility of any one credential nor mix non-health credentials with health-related credentials) nor any affiliate's and or employees.  

 

Futures, options, and spot currency trading have large potential rewards, but also large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in the futures, foreign exchange and options markets. Don't trade with money you can't afford to lose. This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, spot forex, cfd's, options or other financial products. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed in any material on this website. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results. For the avoidance of any doubt, Trevor Smith and any associated companies, entities, individuals, or employees, do not hold themselves out as Commodity Trading Advisors (“CTAs”) with Assets under management (AUM) but rather is a newsletter-only registrant CTA. Given this representation, all information and material provided by Trevor Smith and any associated companies, or employees, is for educational purposes only and should not be considered specific investment advice.

Focus areas (Indices, two currencies, gold/crude oil) and time frames for Trevor Smith currently in the first half of 2019 are short-term (intraday, intraweek, intramonth) and do not extend beyond one-week to two-week time horizons. My focus trading instruments for my current situation are short-term option spreads with defined risk (weeklys) and single binary options that can be weekly or intraday with money that I can throw away and not miss/regret the loss of it. My paper trades/live trades are tracked in a separate paid newsletter subscription.

© 2013 by Trevor Smith, FNP